this post was submitted on 05 Feb 2025
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NFL Referees Association calls "conspiracy theories" both "insulting" and "preposterous" (www.nbcsports.com)
submitted 1 month ago by GreenEngineering3475@lemmy.world to c/nfl@lemmy.world
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Could the constant talk of the favoritism for the Chiefs trigger a correction during the Super Bowl?

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[–] jimbolauski@lemm.ee 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I'm advocating for use of proper statistics not for either side.

Favoritism is getting calls that you shouldn't get, not the number of calls you get. Playing more undisciplined teams could easily influence the numbers.

To identify a bias trend you need to look at calls against over average, ie do the Chiefs get more calls over a particular opponents average. Even this can be misleading as it's a measure of penalties not bad call penalties and the sample size is not large enough.

Chiefs average 6.1 penalties against per game.

Let's look at the Chiefs opponents.

Ravens average 8.3 pen against per game they had 7 Chiefs 6. Chiefs -1

Bengals 5.8 Average, had 8 against chiefs had 4. Chiefs +4.

Atlanta 5.8 average, game was 6 & 6 l. Chiefs 0.

Chargers 5.8 average, game 9 & 5. Chiefs +4.

Saints 6.5 average, game 5 & 6. Chiefs -1.5

49ers 6.5 average, game 6 & 4. Chiefs +1.5.

Raiders 5.6 average, game 5 & 8. Chiefs -2.5

Bucs 6.8 average, game 5 & 4. Chiefs +0.

Broncos 6.5, game 6 & 3. Chiefs +2.5.

Bills 7.4, game 3 & 6. Chiefs -4.5.

Panthers 6.9, game 9 & 10. Chiefs -2.

Raiders 5.6, game 9 & 7. Chiefs +4.5.

Chargers 5.8, game 7 & 8. Chiefs +3.

Browns 6.9, game 6 & 4. Chiefs +0.

Texans 7.9, game 6 & 2. Chiefs +2.

Steelers 6.4, game 4 & 9. Chiefs -0.5.

Broncos 6.5, game 5 & 3. Chiefs +1.5

Texans 7.9, game 8 & 5. Chiefs +2.

Bills 7.4, game 6 & 5. Chiefs -0.5.

Chiefs are +12.5 penalties above average which indicates they may be getting more calls than they should.