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The unofficial non-partisan Lemmy movement to bring proportional representation to all levels of government in Canada.

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Le mouvement non officiel et non partisan de Lemmy visant à introduire la représentation proportionnelle à tous les niveaux de gouvernement au Canada.

🗳️Les électeurs méritent davantage de choix et de responsabilité de la part de tous les politiciens.

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New Canadian election poll projects that Pierre Poilievre will lose his seat. A new Ekos poll is projecting a Liberal majority of 251 seats, including the CPC leader’s Carleton riding | Cult MTL (cultmtl.com)

submitted 2 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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According to a new study by Ekos, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his seat in Parliament in Canada’s next federal election. Poilievre currently represents the Ottawa riding of Carleton.

The study finds the Liberals polling at 50%, followed by the Conservatives at 35% and the NDP at 7%. The Liberals are projected to win 251 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 90 seats.

According to 338Canada, the odds of a Liberal victory in the coming election are 97%.

Liberal Party leader Mark Carney now leads Pierre Poilievre in net favourability by 43 points.

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Obligatory caveat about EKOS being too optimistic about LPC. I'd like them to turn out to be correct, but for now take it with a grain of salt.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I take EKOS with an entire box of salt...

Although they were the first to report the Liberal turnaround... 0 BQ seats projected is hard to believe...

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 weeks ago

Their actual numbers are not super reliable, but the trend should be fine. Their polling seems to be sensitive to changing attitudes.

They can't say anything definitive about any riding in the country, either. None of these weekly polls have enough samples to do something like that.