this post was submitted on 27 Mar 2025
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The unofficial non-partisan Lemmy movement to bring proportional representation to all levels of government in Canada.

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According to a new study by Ekos, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his seat in Parliament in Canada’s next federal election. Poilievre currently represents the Ottawa riding of Carleton.

The study finds the Liberals polling at 50%, followed by the Conservatives at 35% and the NDP at 7%. The Liberals are projected to win 251 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 90 seats.

According to 338Canada, the odds of a Liberal victory in the coming election are 97%.

Liberal Party leader Mark Carney now leads Pierre Poilievre in net favourability by 43 points.

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 2 weeks ago

No, in the same way that Mark Carney was not required to have a seat to be the Liberal leader.

This is how parliamentary democracy works. "Unelected" leaders are a perfectly normal component of the system, because we vote for MPs and then the MPs decide how to govern with that mandate.

Now, in practical terms, losing your seat is a death knell for a party leader at this scale. While nothing in our governance or party procedure would obligate him to step down, his tenure would still be measured in days at that point.