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I think the opposite is happening. The DNC is doubling/tripling down and the base keeps splintering and getting smaller.
https://www.kqed.org/news/12033207/sf-latinx-club-leaves-local-democratic-party
Progressives will be trying to build an alternative to the corporatist zionist dems. I think the party is more or less over. They no longer have the votes to win a national race, nor is any help coming from the right or the left. There is no trump bump because the democratic party doesnt seem useful now or able to win in the future. And zionists will keep it frozen this way because they prefer trump to dems anyway.
But how? There are already multiple parties beyond the big two. Minor parties who have existed for decades. But only 3 of them were on the ballot in more than 10 states in 2024. There's just no way, in voting math, that a new party can just drop in and take place. Local and county seats (your link about SF LatinX group), sure. But state and federal 3rd parties are a pipe dream.
If there are enough progressives to beat a Democratic candidate (not even win the general but just beat the Democratic candidate), then there enough to win the Democratic primary. And then there will be a chance to beat the Republican rather than splitting the vote. And if there aren't, then splitting the vote just means more MAGA.
Without progressive support the dnc cant win a national election alone any more than we can.
Indeed I agree. Which is why I'm advocating for progressive candidates to run in the Democratic party primaries, and for the progressive voters to actually support them in those primaries.
Progressives have difficulty trusting what democrats call primaries.
I don't think they've participated in them consistently enough and in a large enough scale for it. Either that or there simply aren't enough progressive voters to defeat the centrists and neoliberals. In which case splintering into a third party essentially means permanent Republican majority. Everybody wants to cite Bernie as proof that a progressive isn't allowed to win when the reality is simply that more people voted for Hillary in 2016 (not a single superdelegate vote was needed to give her the win at the convention, and the DNC changed the rules in 2018 onwards so that superdelegates don't even vote in the convention unless the pledged delegates can't elect a nominee in the first round) and the same is true of Biden in 2020.
I didn't ask for your apologia. Democrats literally argued in court that they don't have to run fair primaries.
And won.
So you're either voting a right-leaning candidate or a left-leaning candidate. If there are multiple candidates from one of those two halves of the spectrum on the ballot where the recipient of the most votes wins, the vote for that half is split and lowers the threshold for the most popular candidate from the other half.
So don't vote for them. Get a progressive to run in the next primary and then go vote in the primary to replace the useless person. When I advocate for voting in the Democratic primaries, it's not to support incumbents like Pelosi and Schumer. They can fuck all the way off for failing so badly. It's to utilize the infrastructure and ballot access that the Democratic party has that no third party can come remotely close to competing with. After decades of existence neither the Green party nor the Libertarian party were on the ballot in all 50 states in 2024. By all means, go 3rd party in local, even county, races when they have a chance in the polls.
The primaries are open to any candidate who meets the requirements (ie filing deadline and signatures from the district, etc). Don't rely on a party to provide you a candidate. Fucking go participate in the process to select better candidates (but they also have to actually fucking run in those primaries, too).
90% of Bernie voters stayed with Democratic party and voted for Hilary
https://www.npr.org/2017/08/24/545812242/1-in-10-sanders-primary-voters-ended-up-supporting-trump-survey-finds
But he wasn't, because progressive voters didn't show up enough in the primaries.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superdelegate#2016_election
More people voted for Hillary, so she was the nominee. And that's my point. You can overcome
It doesn't fucking have to mean splitting the vote. Just fucking vote for progressives in the god damn primaries!
If the alternative is measurably worse, then you are just making easier for them to win by reducing the number of votes they need to receive in order to win.
This right here is what I'm saying. Anybody who meets the requirements can declare their candidacy in the party primary. We don't need the party to turn around and say "oh hey here's a bunch of candidates for you to pick from." Was AOC given to us by the party? NO! She just up and ran against an incumbent because she saw Bernie do it. And the voters in the district showed up and voted for her. Fuck what "the party" wants and use their process to get what we want! It's not up to the party to put someone on the ticket, it's up to that someone to register to be on the primary ballot and the god damn primary voters to show up and vote!
They did, but it didn't matter, because more people showed to the primaries to vote for Clinton than did for Bernie. She had more pledged delegates, elected by the primary voters, going into the convention and the superdelegates didn't even need to vote for her to win the nomination. The party even changed the convention rules starting in 2018 so that the superdelegatees don't even vote unless the pledged delegates (the ones elected by the primary voters) can't elect a candidate in the first vote.
Stay safe and know that you are still valued and welcome by millions of people.
Agree on that. Cheers!