this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2025
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The current models depend on massive investment into server farms. They aren't generating profit, and probably can't. When the companies involved realize it's not going to happen, they'll pull it all. That will generate a new AI winter, and in 20 or 30 years, maybe the pieces will be picked up and the field will go through another summer cycle. This sort of boom/bust cycle has happened before in AI.
And no, self-hosted models aren't going to make up for it. They aren't as powerful, and more importantly, they will never be able to drive mass market adaptation.
Deepseek is not the huge leap it appears. It's better, but not at all what was initially claimed.
Nor is smartphone AI going to do the things people what AI to do. It won't let the CEO take your job.
Perhaps because you didn't understand what they said.
It's why companies are dumping billions into it.
If the models were actually getting substantially more efficient, we wouldn't be talking about bringing new nuclear reactors online just to run it.
Yes, and it says exactly what I claimed. DeepSeek is an improvement, but not to the level initially reported. Not even close.
What a colossally stupid thing to say. We're not looking at starting up new nuclear reactors to run YouTube.