this post was submitted on 06 Feb 2024
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While it is possible we hit an unknown and unmodeled tipping point, until we get conformation as to what caused the vast shift in the last year it’s still possible it is temporary and we’ll fall back down to the temperature increases we’ve seen up until this point.
Not that it really matters, seeing as what we need to be done doesn’t change with how high it gets.
Doesn’t help that El Niño is currently in effect, with the next several seasons predicted to be affected by it. Muddies the data, so to speak.
Yeah, but some of those previous years had El Niño too and they're waaaay down below the 2023 and 2024 lines.
Precisely. A lot of them! El nino is not rare