this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2024
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[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago (2 children)

When an equal or greater number of voters believe he’s doing the right thing, or needs to do more for Israel, and young voters are notoriously unreliable? In terms of political calculus, this is not a clear-cut strategic decision.

If young voters don't turn out for him in similar numbers as they did the last election, he's likely lost anyway. He's running a campaign on a knife edge, and alienating a demographic that was essential for his last win, which is a dumb move. Support for Israel tracks heavily with age, which coincidentally, tracks pretty decently with the likelihood to vote Republican, so there's a good portion of this block that were never going to vote for him to begin with.

But if Biden doesn’t change his position on Israel, despite voicing some responsiveness to current protests, he’s still better, and yes, including for the Palestinian people, than Donald Trump. And realistically speaking, it’s one of those two old fucks that’s going to be president.

No, it's just competing on degrees of awfulness. This is like saying you're going to fall victim to one of two murders; the first one will flay you alive and let you die of infections once they set in, while the second will shoot you 3 times in the face and make sure you're dead within ten minutes. You're arguing the first one is better because they prolong the agony, but the outcome is the same either way.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 11 months ago

He’s running a campaign on a knife edge, and alienating a demographic that was essential for his last win

The pro-Israel moderate vote was also essential for his last win.