this post was submitted on 06 May 2024
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LLM's will probably improve at an exponential level - similar to how cpu's did in the 80s/90s. in ~10 generations the LLMs will likely be very useful
My take is that LLMs are absolutely incredible... for personal use and hobby projects. I can't think of a single task I would trust an LLM to perform entirely unsupervised in a business context.
Of course, that's just where LLMs are at today, though. They'll improve.
Sure, but it's simply not physically possible for AI to be consuming that much power. Not enough computers exist, and not enough ability to manufacture new ones fast enough. There hasn't been a giant surge of new power plants built in just the past few years, so if something was suddenly drawing an India's worth of power then somewhere an India's worth of consumers just went dark.
This just isn't plausible.