this post was submitted on 18 Mar 2025
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Collapse

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This is the place for discussing the potential collapse of modern civilization and the environment.


Collapse, in this context, refers to the significant loss of an established level or complexity towards a much simpler state. It can occur differently within many areas, orderly or chaotically, and be willing or unwilling. It does not necessarily imply human extinction or a singular, global event. Although, the longer the duration, the more it resembles a ‘decline’ instead of collapse.


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Significance

Marine phytoplankton, which contribute ~45% of global net primary production, are projected to be affected by ongoing ocean acidification (OA). However, the response of phytoplankton to acidification is not well constrained in ultraoligotrophic tropical and subtropical oceans where small (<20 µm) phytoplankton dominate. By conducting onboard microcosm experiments, we found community-level primary production decreased consistently following CO2 enrichment in the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre and northern South China Sea, while no significant changes were observed at the northernmost boundary of the subtropical gyre. Eukaryotic phytoplankton but not cyanobacteria were key drivers of these responses which occur primarily under nitrogen limitation. These findings enhance our understanding of OA impacts on phytoplankton and marine productivity in a changing climate.

Abstract

Ocean acidification caused by increasing anthropogenic CO2 is expected to impact marine phytoplankton productivity, yet the extent and even direction of these changes are not well constrained. Here, we investigate the responses of phytoplankton community composition and productivity to acidification across the western North Pacific. Consistent reductions in primary production were observed under acidified conditions in the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre and the northern South China Sea, whereas no significant changes were found at the northern boundary of the subtropical gyre. While prokaryotic phytoplankton showed little or positive responses to high CO2, small (<20 µm) eukaryotic phytoplankton which are primarily limited by low ambient nitrogen drove the observed decrease in community primary production. Extrapolating these results to global tropical and subtropical oceans predicts a potential decrease of about 5 Pg C y−1 in primary production in low Chl-a oligotrophic regions, which are anticipated to experience both acidification and stratification in the future.

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