this post was submitted on 28 Mar 2025
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Programmer Humor

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago

Guess i got a blackout bingo on this one. Oof.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago

Do people not know how bingo cards work anymore?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

So what's the actual error margin for estimating feature implementation time? It's going to be nearly the whole thing, right?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Wildly depends on the complexity of the feature. If it only takes 4 hours to implement, you might have good enough of an idea what needs to be done that you can estimate it with 1-hour-precision. That is, if you're only doing things that you've done in a similar form before.

If the feature takes two weeks to implement, there's so many steps involved in accomplishing that, that there's a high chance for one of the steps to explode in complexity. Then you might be working on it for six weeks.

But yeah, I also double any estimate that I'm feeling, because reality shows that that ends up being more accurate, since I likely won't have all complexity in mind, so in some sense my baseline assumed error is already 100%.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Hmm, so kinda O(n^1.5^) scaling? (Of the ratio between definitely required time and possibly required time, anyway, since a -110% error wouldn't make sense)

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago

Really not sure an estimate for algorithmic complexity is the right way to specify this. 😅
But if your supposed input unit is days, then I guess, yeah, that kind of works out.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 months ago (3 children)

Might as well put the whole Agile/Scrum crap on there while you're at it...

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

All-day "Sprint Grooming" meeting

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