this post was submitted on 05 Jul 2025
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I found this insightful. Eager Space has lost a lot of optimism about the program, and argues that SpaceX is now at the dreaded threshold of hubris. The Apollo program faced a similar crisis after the Apollo 1 disaster.
I find myself agreeing, especially with the spreading "block 3 will fix everything" mentality online. It doesn't feel that simple.
Yeah, some of the problems are not Block 2 specific. Maybe the resonance and disappearing Raptor 2s are, but some of the leaks, blown up COPVs, and heat shield issues will destroy Block 3s, too.
Have they had heatshield issues? So far, as long as a ship didn't lose attitude control or fail on ascent, the ship survived to splashdown.