Hey,
Congratulations on deciding to get healthier!
You have one very critical flaw in your train of thought:
All calculations are based on averages or standard humans and so on.
And all calculations you're doing are within 20% of each other, even slight deviations in any of the theoretical figures to your non average body would screw you over.
That means something simple though: no, don't skip cardio. You will get more hungry the higher your calorie deficit would become. And cardio is simply healthy if it's not overdone!
You seem quite similar to myself in so much as you seem to have a very analytical and theory driven approach to things. Here is how you can use that to your advantage: track.
Base all your analytics on true "you" data instead of calculating theoretical figures.
This means heart frequency zones, body fat and muscle percentages.
Heart frequency is a direct proxy for training intensity, the other two for how your body composition changes.
The kcal are just a bonus on top to adjust your total mass. That will follow with a better muscle to fat ratio anyway (usually!).
Good luck! ❤️