this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2025
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[โ€“] [email protected] 9 points 3 months ago (1 children)

This is the expected path the probability is going to take. Scott Manley made a great video on that.

Basically the area in which the asteroid is going to be includes the earth. When you shrink this area earth is going to take up more space, unless it left the cone. I.e. measurements increase the likelihood until they don't.

[โ€“] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Scott Manley... Now that's a name I haven't heard in a long time

[โ€“] [email protected] 4 points 3 months ago