I think AI can take far fewer jobs than people will try to replace with AI, that's kind of the issue
this post was submitted on 25 Jun 2024
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High skilled jobs will just start using AI as a tool to automate routine (or have already started, in some cases). The most efficient use of AIs we have now is to pair it with a human, anyway
The worry is focused on the amount of damage that is likely to be done by the people in decision-making positions thinking they can save money by removing more paid positions.
Companies will save so much money once they decide to replace their CEOs with AIs..
Tbf most could do it for cheaper with a dartboard and some post-its
I never understood this? How could the CEO be replaced? Who would be controlling the AI? Whould't that person just be the new CEO? I have so many questions...
The shareholders would do a ‘Twitch plays’ on the ai
If you are trying to seriously understand how to do it... well, you can't. Current AIs can't fully replace anybody, and it's an open question if they can partially replace (AKA improve the productivity) anybody to any impactful extent.
Depending on how loosely you define AI, current AIs are great at replacing warehouse workers and jobs that rely heavily on routine and have little to no innovation and critical thinking involved.
Fire all staff
Receive billion dollar check
Walk away before it all collapses
Repeat
Look, I already got the algorithm written right here!
The problem with humans reviewing AI output is that humans are pretty shit at QA. Our brains are literally built to ignore small mistakes. Digging through the output of an AI that's right 95% of the time is nightmare fuel for human brains. If your task needs more accuracy, it's probably better to just have the human do it all, rather than try to review it.
Then each QA human will be paired with a second AI that will catch those mistakes the human ignores. And another human will be hired to watch that AI and that human will get an AI assistant to catch their mistakes.
Eventually they'll need a rule that you can only communicate with the human/AI directly above you or below you in the chain to avoid meetings with entire countries of people.
Should note that a lot of the Microsoft Recall project revolves around capturing human interactions on the computer in real time continuously, with the hope of training a GPT-5 model that can do basic office tasks automagically.
Will it work? To some degree, maybe. It'll definitely spit out some convincing looking gibberish.
But the promise is to increasingly automate away office and professional labor.
"Take this code and give me jest tests with 100% coverage. Don't describe, don't scaffold, full output."
Saves me hours.
Oh, don't worry, the errors you see will go away quickly, assuming they aren't a feature.
Basically it is going the following way:
- Company gets AI to do stuff.
- Company fires its workforce.
- AI isn't up to the task, and often disliked by people, see its unpopularity in the arts.
- Company has to rehire staff, first to try to salvage the AI's output, then to just go back to the good old days of human creativity.
AI isn't magic, no matter how much techbros try to humanize the technology because NeuRAl nEtWOrKs.
How about:
Company rehires a percentage of its workforce, with the lowered demand for those specific workers driving salaries down.
Do you mean AI, just Generative models, or LLMs in particular? I'm pretty thoroughly convinced that AI is a general solution to automation, while generative models are only a partial but very powerful solution.
I think the larger issue is actually that displacement from the workforce causes hardship to those who have been displaced. If that were not the case, most people either wouldn't care or would actively celebrate their jobs being lost to automation.
I was really confident. Then I lost a job to AI. Then they hired me back a few months later after realizing that replacing half the support team with an AI was not working out.
How did your compensation change when you were rehired?
Rehired with all my previous tenure benefits with the added raise they would have given me had I been around when they gave out raises.
So your compensation effectively didn't change at all, if you'd have gotten the raise anyhow?
Damn.
I was in a very, very rough spot. Was mostly worth taking the offer. It sure beat wasting 13 years of obscure product knowledge at some new job for the less pay others were offering.
I hope you at least gave them a nice smug smile when you walked back in.
I got to make regular jokes about "being the new guy" and subtly shoot shade at the management team any chance I get.
Human Inteligence 'Bob' checking in
Hopefully at least farts outside the CEO's office every time they walk by.
Yeah that's totally understandable. It's just so scummy that suits know they can fire people for some idiotic whim like the current "AI" craze, and then when it inevitably blows up in their faces they can rehire the folks they just fired and for no extra cost because they know people will be desperate. Small wonder they didn't cut your pay.
My first sentence when I get connected to a chat bot is always "Let me speak to a human".
How about anyone whose job is taken by AI gets a universal basic income paid for by taxes on those companies
I think that is what we all (except HR and billionaires) agree on.
It's such a shame that those are the exact people who have the power in this situation
There's a pretty good argument for that in a lot of other cases too, however those on the top doesn't want it, or at least not in a sensible way, see the whole "UBI through stock exchange" and "Universal Basic Compute" fiasco.
Please take my job I wish to stop suffering