How spot on are we talking?
For example, a few weeks ago, the forecaster for Seattle predicted Armageddon, and we got a 3 minute lightning storm instead. On a slow news day they'll talk about how they have all this new tech and multiple overlapping copper stations that they've never had before but they're seldom correct beyond it is or isn't going ot rain. Sooooo much more tech and not any better than when they had a wind sock outside the building.
Soooo we talking about global temperature raises year over year or what?