SpaceX

Well, we can't really know that, there's really only guesses and statements, and statements from Musk are famously unreliable. But aside from that, right now, Starlink is still in the happy days where they've got new satellites.

Their launch cadence has been pretty steady since januari 2022. With a 5-6 year lifespan, that means they'll start hitting the maximum constellation size around januari 2027 to 2028. From that point, every new launch is a replacement and the only way to grow the numer of sats is to increase launch cadence.

They've got 2 more happy years, and then it's going to hit the ceiling. You can already see this is coming from the price hikes over the past years, and increasing congestion. There's also some weirdness going on since last year with lots of sats being parked without use.

On the bright side for Starlink, there are some big fat government contracts coming, I'm sure. And entirely fairly and profitably too.