this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2023
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The chain of incentives is like this:
I don't know how to economically motivate an airline to reduce delays and cancellations and reduce safety-related incidents at the same time. Those two things seem mutually exclusive. It's like how soldiers beginning to wear metal helmets "caused" head injuries to increase. The extra head injuries would have been deaths. The extra delays and cancellations would have been safety-related incidents.
Penalizing airlines for delays and cancellations is like telling soldiers they're not allowed to wear metal helmets.
I suppose it depends on how you define "penalization". I don't think a straight refund should be considered a penalty.
I feel like "Penalize them even harder for taking off an unsafe flight" is the obvious answer here?
Like, your analogy with the helmets doesn't really fit here, because that's an issue of survivor bias, but what we're talking about here is incentives.
It's only a problem if unsafe flights are the most profitable option. They don't have to be.