this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2024
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"Emmanuel Macron, the French president, has announced that he is dissolving the national assembly, and calling for legislative elections on June 30 and July 7.

The French president said that he can’t pretend nothing has happened, that the outcome of the EU election is not good for his government and that the rise of nationalists is a danger for France and Europe."

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[–] [email protected] 77 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (17 children)

I am from the U.S. so I don't really understand how this works, or what the significance is. Can anyone EILI5?

[–] [email protected] 159 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (15 children)

Macron's party got disastrous results and got trounced by the far right in the European elections.

He had been selling himself as the shield that protected France from the rise of the local far right party. With these results, he has lost his credibility, and therefore his government did as well.

Therefore he's calling out-of-schedule French parliamentary elections that -- I assume -- he hopes will reelect his party and allies ahead of the far right. It might work: the far right party polls strong at around 30%, but has few allies, and may not be able to form a coalition government. If Macron himself can, that will strengthen his legitimacy.

Needless to say, this is a risky gamble.

[–] [email protected] 62 points 10 months ago (3 children)

He acknowledge he lost his credibility and therefore he dissolves the parliament? He just gain my appreciation

[–] [email protected] 49 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Because delaying mean’s momentum against him will continue to grow

You wait it out if you think there’s no chance for you or you hope it fades

[–] [email protected] 25 points 10 months ago (5 children)

Still a very bold move imo

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 10 months ago (1 children)

"dissolving parliament" means they've announced a general election. Parliament won't meet any more, and all the existing members of parliament will go home and begin campaigning

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[–] [email protected] 74 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

Russia is the biggest winner when far-right sentiment increases

[–] [email protected] 40 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

That's why they are funding and supporting far-right parties in almost any Western country. The AfD in Germany is a good example, their MPs were literally caught receiving money from the RuSSians. Their MEPs also work for the Chinese intelligence service btw

[–] [email protected] 73 points 9 months ago (2 children)

An unprecedented move which could backfire as it did for Chirac in 1997. Macron is playing a dangerous gamble with the Fifth Republic... 🗳️🇫🇷

[–] [email protected] 19 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Comparing it to Chirac's situation is downplaying how crazy te move is right now. Can you imagine how fucked up this is? Like "oh, the far right has more than twice as many votes as we got, it must be some sort of big misclick situation, lets check it out !"

[–] [email protected] 21 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I think it's more that the situation is only going to get worse the longer we wait so he's pulling the trigger now for the best conditions he's ever going to get. Not great

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[–] [email protected] 62 points 10 months ago (10 children)

Why is the right becoming more popular? What changed?

[–] [email protected] 79 points 10 months ago (8 children)

2008, the global financial crash, the subsequent shift of trillions of all the currencies towards the already-rich, then Covid hammering the final nail in the coffin of proving that governments care about the people only inasmuch as they provide value.

We’ve had sixteen years of people getting poorer and poorer, shit getting more expensive, and the news outlets they read pointing towards immigrants/gays/leftists as the problem.

The right take those messages and amplify them. They tell people that only they can speak truth to power, when the reality is far more nuanced than that. But people don’t want nuance, they just want to be able to pay their bills. The people aren’t stupid though, they know that the windbags can’t really change anything, but the status quo hasn’t done shit to help them, so fuck it, we’ll vote for the other guy.

“They’re all the same anyway”

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[–] [email protected] 34 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

This is more of a general answer as fascism seems to be gaining more ground globally. A book published in 1997 "The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy" theorized roughly every 80 years (or about a human life span) we face a crisis related to a critical mass of people losing the knowledge and shared values from the previous generations. Imagine the perspective of a Revolutionary War veteran who fought under General Washington to help forge the United States, who would be understandably upset to hear any mention of a Civil War between states, which didn't start until 82 years later.

We are losing that collective memory now both in the U.S. and abroad; the remaining World War II veterans are in no position to punch these fascists when they see a swastika flown at a rally. Unless we vote in numbers large enough to throw the MAGA movement into the dustbin of history, in the future we can expect younger Trump acolytes to take root in the same vacuum of thought.

From a recent article

”With these words Biden addressed the bitter irony that haunted the commemoration ceremonies. While D-Day occurred eight decades ago, America is now just five months from an election that could bring to power a man and a movement who embody and celebrate the twisted authoritarian values of the enemies we sought to defeat so long ago. Fascism has not gone away. The tactics of the Nazis to employ racism and demagoguery to divide society and enable their seizure of power and their gutting of democratic institutions currently are the playbook of Donald Trump and the MAGA movement.”

[–] [email protected] 27 points 9 months ago

All the major media outlets have been bought by a few far-right billionaires. For some years now, propaganda has been omnipresent, 24 hours a day.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Social media disinformation campaigns from the Kremlin and possibly also the CCP.

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

There's too many factors to name in a brief comment, but here's an interesting statistic:

In all recent European elections, all center-left parties that have tried to swing to the right on immigration to try and woo right-wing voters, have lost seats. No exceptions.

Edit: Clarified the swing on immigration was to the right.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Is this because they waited too long, or because the answer is something other than anti-immigrant sentiment?

For example, there’s this statistic that almost everyone dies shortly after having CPR performed on them. Paradoxically, that doesn’t mean CPR is bad: it absolutely saves lives. It’s just that they do it too late on a lot of people (and also perform it on a bunch of people who are going to die no matter what but that’s not the point of this anecdote).

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

Everything is in motion, nothing is static. As Capitalism declines and the material conditions of Europe decline, reactionary elements longing for "the good old days" rise. It's generally what happens when Social Democracy turns Nationalist, and is deeply terrifying.

This can be opposed only through strong antifascist organization, not just sitting home and hoping things get better. They won't, with that attitude.

Edit: to add, the reason Social Democracy specifically was mentioned is because both Social Democracy and Fascism are based on the idea of Class Colaboration, only the aims and results are obviously very different. Adding the Nationalist element to an existing Social Democracy can quickly end up changing to outright fascism.

Immigration policies in particular have been a hot topic in Europe, so Nationalism has been rising with anti-immigrant rhetoric.

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[–] [email protected] 25 points 10 months ago (16 children)

The reason the "far right" is gaining momentum around the world because of immigration issues. It has nothing to do with "racism" and "bigotry", like people on Lemmy and Reddit claim. The Left and Liberals are too concern with helping everyone else, and not their own. Countries are abandoning traditional goals and support for their own citizens, and focusing on helping poor immigrants from all over the place. Sooner or later, your own citizens are going to get fed up.

[–] [email protected] 99 points 10 months ago (5 children)

That's called xenophobia, and it's a form of bigotry.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 10 months ago (5 children)

I agree with you, and yet... It's winning them elections. We can be upset about it all we want, but it's increasingly clear that bigotry and xenophobia are winning arguments in this era. We're fucked if we don't adjust. I'm not proposing we abandon migrants, but the one thing myself and the person you replied to likely agree on is that the left is increasingly losing sight of home and the average citizen, not in terms of rhetoric but in effect. We're about to lose the EU and possibly lose support for Ukraine, see even more immigration restrictions, and see an empowered global far-right. The voters are telling us they have different priorities, which we need to focus on in a more altruistic way than the right. We have to be introspective here if we ever want to accomplish our goals.

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 10 months ago

This is just such a false narrative. The issue is not a lack of funds to help our own citizens and refugees. The issue is that those funds are concentrated among very few very wealthy people. Those wealthy people would very much like us to blame the refugees.

[–] [email protected] 23 points 10 months ago

It has nothing to do with "racism" and "bigotry", ... too concern with helping everyone else, and not their own.

Tell me you're racist without saying you're racist.

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