this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2024
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[–] [email protected] 140 points 7 months ago (5 children)

That graph is so misleading. Makes it look like almost all the users disappeared but the Y axis only covers a small range at the top.

[–] [email protected] 85 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

The full range is about 5.5%. So while it is misleading, a 5% drop in a graph that consistent isn't nothing. Something substantial absolutly changed

[–] [email protected] 32 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Maybe whole Instance that went offline.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 7 months ago

That's my guess to

[–] [email protected] 12 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

Cool then it should be 5.5% of the visual space for it to not be misleading. But it’s represented much larger. And OP is (edit to sound less mean) not updating the post sooo…

I call shade

[–] [email protected] 34 points 7 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 26 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Exactly. Not the over a million that it looks like at a glance.

The user count isn't helpful anyway, active users is a much better measure.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago
[–] [email protected] 13 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I captured the graph with the number after the decrease at the bottom right to try to show the number of lost users, but I see where you come from

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (3 children)

If you saw why people would criticise it then you’d… edit the post, recapture the graph with an accurate visual representation including the zero on the Y axis?

[–] [email protected] 19 points 7 months ago

Well...

  • that's how the website displayed the graph when I took that screenshot, I'm pretty sure you can't modify the axis
  • I'm not on my computer at the moment, editing is the most I can do right now
  • if you can capture the graph with 0 on the Y axis, please post it below and I'll update the picture
[–] [email protected] 8 points 7 months ago (1 children)

It's the only way to demonstrate the fall, of you did it at scale it would've even be noticeable.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

5% is noticeable unless the graph is under 20 pixels tall. Even then, dithering or antialiasing techniques could make it visible.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago (1 children)

There are people here who didn't even notice the axis and are confused. How do you expect everyone to notice a 5% drop lol.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

Well if they didn't even notice an axis on a graph, they might be too stupid for a graph...

My point was only to say that 5% is very mich visible on a 0-100% graph.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago

My point is that it is hardly visible and doesn't show the exact numbers properly. I prefer the current style of graph for showing sudden changes if the previous data points isn't that important in the context. But everyone has their preference I suppose.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago

Or just inform the other adults to consult the axis for clarification.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 7 months ago

Lies, damned lies and statistics.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (3 children)

no it's not?

you can see the axes and op even mentions that it's a 5% drop

the graph is clearly just fitted to the data

[–] [email protected] 10 points 7 months ago

I edited the title after their comment, it wasn't that clear at the beginning

[–] [email protected] 8 points 7 months ago

In my classes on analytics, we were taught to prefer using normalised axes starting at 0 to more accurately put changes into perspective.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago

the graph is clearly just fitted to the data

That's the problem. It's heavily skewed when compared to the greater overall engagement statistics.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 7 months ago (2 children)
[–] [email protected] 8 points 7 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago

not sure when entire fedi-reddit is like 50k AMU lol

[–] [email protected] 6 points 7 months ago

Maybe it's a problem with the crawler.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

would this not happen if a whole instance got shut down?

[–] [email protected] 34 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Either that or blocked the crawler on their Instance.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

I have a feeling it was caused by something like that, likely a failure of some kind. The drop is way too steep and abruptly for it to be natural.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 7 months ago (1 children)

An active instance would have an impact on active users

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Not immediately though right? since the active users are a month or half-year. Or does it automatically update that too?

~Anti~ ~Commercial-AI~ ~license~ ~(CC~ ~BY-NC-SA~ ~4.0)~

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Active users are daily too (you have day, week and month counters in the sidebar of all communities)

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I was talking about on the fediverse observer. It wouldn't show up immediately there.

~Anti~ ~Commercial-AI~ ~license~ ~(CC~ ~BY-NC-SA~ ~4.0)~

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago (1 children)

The Fediobserver has daily and monthly stats for active users. I assume daily indeed follow daily variations. You also saw those huge bumps when LW updated and started counting votes as activity

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

I think the observer shows daily and monthly stats for the active users per month and active users per half year so the active users per month wouldn't change as fast I think.

Also about it being a botfarm I do think that is a possibility. Actually there is more evidence for it when you see extend the graph to 120 days and see a huge uptick in users and servers at the same time. Edit: 2024-7-29

Edit: wording

~Anti~ ~Commercial-AI~ ~license~ ~(CC~ ~BY-NC-SA~ ~4.0)~

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago

I think the observer shows daily and monthly stats for the active users per month and active users per half year so the active users per month wouldn’t change as fast I think.

Indeed, I was remembering it wrong, you might be right!

Also about it being a botfarm I do think that is a possibility. Actually there is much clearer evidence for it when you see extend the graph to 120 days and see a huge uptick in users and servers at the same time. Edit: 2024-7-29

Definitely

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago

The source code is open source so I believe someone can tell us if need be.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Which one of you forgot to open the app so we all ceased to exist to save on simulation resources?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago

Go on... lol

[–] [email protected] 14 points 7 months ago (1 children)

At least user a log scale. But start at 0

[–] [email protected] 12 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Feel free to suggest this to the Fediverse Observer team

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Ah, I didn't know.

The monthly graph is pretty interesting in the same way, -400k?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Lots of farmbots going down looking at the servers graph

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago

Interestingly the amount of active users status pretty solid at 200k indeed

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago
[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Was the metric measured before the day the was over which would limit the timeframe of the final day and show fewer users?
I dont see this chart when I click the link

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago

It should be there, it's the second graph