Biden gets 80% of the vote in the Michigan primary.
Trump gets 66% of the vote in the Michigan primary.
Media: Major rebuke to Biden! It could make him lose Michigan in the general!
this post was submitted on 28 Feb 2024
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You're mixing up the Democratic and Republican primaries. Trump was running against Haley whereas Biden was unopposed.
So Biden supporters had even less reason to show up and vote for him than Trump supporters. Thus underestimating Biden support.
Whereas protest voters had more reason to show up to nonvote against Biden.
Exactly, thus overestimating their prevalence.
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They're muddying the waters.
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Not sure what the percentages of the separate ballots have to do with this. Do you think the same amount of people voted in the democrat and republican primaries?
Uncommitted gets 65,000 votes in the Michigan Democratic primary.
Nikki Haley gets 200,000 votes in the Michigan Republican primary.
Media: Major rebuke to Biden! It could make him lose Michigan in the general!
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And I bet most of those who voted against Biden would vote for Biden because it's about democracy.
- Signed some one who would vote for uncommitted if he was in MI, but would vote for Biden in the general.
Make no mistake. His stance on Israel could make him lose.
He's still got my vote...
The alternative is Trump and the end of democracy in our nation. If you're not terrified of Trump winning in November, you either haven't been paying attention or you're a moron.
Vote Biden. Not because you agree or disagree with his war policies or think he's been a good or bad president. Vote because the alternative is so much worse. Vote because we literally have Nazis schmoozing publicly with the other party like it's no big deal! Vote because you don't want an actual rapist in office! Vote because you want to be able to vote again in 4 years. Vote because you want your children to grow up in a nation that's still free.
Just fucking vote!
Which is insane given that the man to whom he'd lose would be far worse for Palestineans...
The only way it makes sense is if the people who'd not vote over Israel don't actually care about Palestineans so much as being on the "right"/socially cool side of the issue. Otherwise not voting for Biden over trump because of Israel is like refusing to ride home with your friend because they had a beer and instead hopping in the car with the guy who was slamming tequila all night.
The only way it makes sense is if the people who'd not vote over Israel don't actually care about Palestineans so much as being on the "right"/socially cool side of the issue.
This is it. Politics is messy, and people don't want to get their hands dirty making a hard choice.
I think those people would think that defending Biden from critique over Palestine is more of an indication of not caring than protesting against it by threatening not to vote for him.
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It seems very much to me like people trying to keep some ideal of purity for themselves, and if someone who unironically says, "genocide Joe" would care to correct me I'm listening, but it's unclear how letting the guy who changed the us stance on settlements being unlawful to being totally cool win because of your unwillingness to recognize that this world is actively on fire, and we have to live with whatever future we steer to regardless.
"If you decide not to decide, you still have made a choice."
Are you really expecting someone who lost relatives in Gaza to vote for the guy who had the power to do something about it and didn't?
This campaign is telling Biden that there's a voting block that holds the balance of power in a swing state, and all he has to do to get their votes is pick up the phone, tell Bibi to wrap it up or he gets no more weapons (and yes, it is that simple. Reagan did it when Israel invaded Lebanon).
But instead of meeting voters where they are, Democrats seem to fall back to their usual MO of blaming voters, instead of winning votes by doing things that are popular with voters.
It makes them feel better to think it's just online leftists doing purity politics rather than a deeply angered population who have been giving him every opportunity to turn away from this and mostly just treated as an inconvenience.
It's either online purity politics or damn near zero understanding of consequences.
"I don't like what Biden didn't do for Palestinias, I'm going to help someone who would be way worse for Palestinians! Yay!"
If I shoot your son and explain credibly why the other guy would have also shot your daughter, that’s a cold comfort.
To be clear, you're choosing the guy who'd shoot both?
I’m explaining why people don’t want to choose either, because both of them will kill their children.
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People have outright stated to me that they are doing purity politics. While I cannot prove that every single person I suggest is likely doing so, is actually doing so, I am not making such claims in a vacuum.
You took a handful of anecdotes from your online life and decided "I understand the electorate"? Do you think ~15% of Michigan is online leftists?
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So, first:
No, I do not expect someone who lost relatives in Gaza to vote for the person they blame for it. Humans are creatures of emotion first and logic second, and the vast majority of people won't be able to divorce themselves from their emotional state to do the expected value math. That doesn't mean that, by letting Trump win, they will be doing something other than permitting more people to get massacred faster.
Are you aware that the administration has been pushing on them to not do the shit they've been doing? It seems to me like the answer to that is no, and you expect Biden to just declare terms to a country half a world away which has quite a lot of weapons already, up to and including nuclear arms, I think. Israel is capable of producing weapons on their own. Today isn't 40 years ago.
Biden has done many things that are popular, but people are poorly informed. How much student debt has Biden forgiven, off the top of your head and without consulting the internet?
They haven't been pushing hard enough. The US gives Israel billions in 'aid', and that is definitely leverage that they haven't been willing to use. They're just leaking stuff about Biden 'being frustrated with Netanyahu' and whatever, but there's no evidence of the US daring to touch aid, conditioning aid or even following the US' own laws regarding human rights when providing weapons (you might remember the state department employee who quit in protest over that).
They're just sitting by while Israel is blocking food aid and is preparing to commit a massacre in Rafah.
As for student loans: it's a lot less than what they could've done if they just did a blanket forgiveness, because of the asinine fear of forgiving the loans for someone that is somehow undeserving (like fictional billionaire's children who wouldn't have needed to take out loans to begin with).
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Are you aware that the administration has been pushing on them to not do the shit they’ve been doing?
Are you aware that your fanfic about what Biden is doing behind the scenes isn't evidence of anything?
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The only way it makes sense is if the people who’d not vote over Israel don’t actually care about Palestineans so much as being on the “right”/socially cool side of the issue.
This statement is incredibly disrespectful to the people who are currently losing relatives in the 10s and 100s due to Biden's actions. Like hell they're not in this to be on the socially cool side of an issue shut the fuck up.
Due to Biden's actions, or due to the actions of the government of Israel on which Biden does not have a leash?
He literally does though. Israel only got this far because of unconditional US support.
Unconditional US support from 2021-2024 is what got Israel there? Are you of the view that if we dumped them completely, right now, Israel would collapse or have no ability to prosecute their war against the Palestinians? To the best of my understanding, this is not the case, and I do not believe Biden has the ability to flatly dump Israel singlehandedly; I believe we have treaties with them, which are the law of the US and would need to be nullified by congress, which is never happening, and cannot reasonably be laid exclusively at Biden's feet.
Israel would collapse or have no ability to prosecute their war against the Palestinians?
Not collapse, but they wouldn't be able to continue bombing Gaza to the ground. I can't find the source (Edit: But their reserves are too limited). They'd also need to actually think of their neighbors' responses to their actions (remember how Sisi threatened to go to war over Gaza until Blinken had a "talk" with him), but let's set that aside because it's not something Biden can control single-handedly.
Biden has been bypassing Congress to send them weapons, pressing Congress for Israeli aid and on top of all that defending them at the UN (preventing measures such as UN-led sanctions from taking place). These are things Biden could stop doing right now that would materially impact Israel's campaign in Gaza, and the fact that he's not doing that is causing him to hemorrhage voters.
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So, they're going to help someone who would make it worse for the remaining relatives? That makes sense.
Yep.
Billionaires own the media, and billionaires really really really want to make sure the furthest left America goes is neoliberals.
So anything that isn't 100% Biden gets shouted down as undemocratic, which is so hypocritical it almost breaks my brain.
Biden is a bad candidate, and ignoring it and running him anyways it what may allow trump to win.
If trump wins, billionaires are fine. If Biden wins, they're still fine.
The only way they lose is if instead of Biden there's someone who's platform matches what Dem voters want.
The problem is anti-Biden proponents never provide a viable candidate who can beat both Trump and Biden in November when asked to do so.
Whinge about Biden all you want, but unless an alternative is provided, it's shouting into the void at best and helping Trump at worst.
I support what Michigan did, and I hope Biden gets the message, but I also hope they're not so far up their own asses that they forget that handing the presidency to Trump in November won't actually solve the problem of genocide and will likely bring along other human rights violations.
but I also hope they’re not so far up their own asses
Some of these uncommitted voters have had family members killed in Gaza and you nonchalantly just tell them get their heads out of their asses? Wow.
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They've proposed Sanders twice, and while he's not running this time (and at this stage too old), he beat Trump by huge margins in every head to head poll, both cycles. Unfortunately the corporate media made sure they pushed their corporate friendly candidates (Clinton in 2016, Biden in 2020) instead of creating a fair playing field.
You could see in this cycle as well where Marianne Williamson and Dean Phillips did not get any airtime, while on the Republican side candidates that were polling below 1% got entire CNN town halls. (Not to mention how third party candidates get treated).
The problem is anti-Biden proponents never provide a viable candidate who can beat both Trump and Biden in November when asked to do so.
Plus Gavin Newsom has already told these people to fuck off.
True, just another reason that could make him lose in 2024.
There is zero reason Biden is still running. There is zero reason the DNC and a country of Dems couldn't find anyone else to replace him with. Campaign money to DNC, greed and corruption.
There isn't a single patriot in the entire national Democratic body that cares about the future of this country.
ITT: pro-genocide centrists making excuses for ignoring the results.
They always shift right when it's an election year and you don't fall in line. I call it the "we don't need you" strategy. They did it to Bernie supporters too.
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in 2012 uncommitted got 11% of the vote against actual human being running for reelection barack obama.
as of this moment uncommitted is. getting just under 15%. the other actual human being running for the dem nomination has barely under 3%.
unless all of those uncommitted voters don't vote for biden in november I don't see biden in any trouble, especially if those uncommitted democratic voters are made up by by around 30% of haley voters.
what this does tell me is that there is a major bias against biden in the media, as if they are actively reporting the news to make it seem like biden has some major electoral issues when a) trump has even bigger issues than biden and b) the numbers are simply not telling that story.
They haven't counted the Arab American counties yet. Dearborn is showing unofficially 75% uncommitted per CNN.
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"I was proud today to walk in, and pull a Democratic ballot, and vote 'uncommited,'" Tlaib said in a video message on Tuesday. "President Biden is not listening to us. This is the way we can use our democracy to say: listen. Listen to Michigan."
"President Biden has funded the bombs falling on the family members of people right here in Michigan," Elabed said in a statement on Monday. "Thousands of Michigan Democrats who voted for Biden in 2020 now feel completely betrayed."
It remains unclear how many of the "uncommitted" voters will continue to withhold their support in the general election, but organizers have argued that it's on Biden to earn their support — and they say it won't be their fault if Biden ends up losing Michigan to former President Donald Trump in the general election.
Ahead of the Tuesday primary, officials with the Biden campaign had pointed out that around 20,000 voters have opted to select "uncommitted" in recent presidential primary elections — though the circumstances have varied.
"Uncommitted" accounted for less than 2% of the vote in recent competitive primaries, including 19,106 uncommitted voters in 2020, and 21,601 in 2016.
Four years earlier, when Obama did not appear on the ballot, many of his supporters cast uncommitted votes over his opponent Hillary Clinton, leading to 238,168 votes that accounted for roughly 40% of the electorate.
"Uncommitted" is at about 15% now vs 10.7% the last time someone (Obama) ran unopposed, but most votes haven't been counted yet. I would have waited until the counting is over before talking about major rebukes.
The largest Arab American counties are showing 4% counted.
The campaign's target was 10,000 voters, because that's how many votes Clinton lost Michigan by in 2016. It's already way over that.
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