this post was submitted on 30 Dec 2024
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MeanwhileOnGrad

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This is a weird one. Bear with me. From [email protected]:

So I said to myself, "that's a little bit weird. The US one going up, I can actually believe, but the North Korea one being lower is definitely wrong."

I think Our World In Data is just being shoddy, as they often do.

https://www.wfp.org/countries/democratic-peoples-republic-korea

https://www.statista.com/statistics/269924/countries-most-affected-by-hunger-in-the-world-according-to-world-hunger-index/

The thing I found funny, and why I'm posting here, comes from observing why it was that they started their graph at 2003 and exactly at 2003.

I feel like you could use this as a slide in a little seminar in "how to curate your data until it matches your conclusion, instead of the other way around."

And also, I don't think the hunger rate suddenly dropped from epic to 0 exactly in 2003, I think more likely Our World in Data is just a little bit shoddy about their data.

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[–] [email protected] 92 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I can't believe you would doubt the reliable reporting of the People's Divine Monarchy of North Korea

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 months ago

Only what they say is true, anything else about them, including from independent journalists, is propoganda

[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 months ago

Cherry picking data has long been a problem. I recall a short piece from high school in the 80s called something like “How to Lie with Statistics.” It’s always stuck with me.

[–] [email protected] 26 points 3 months ago (7 children)

This article talks about the global famine relief effort for North Korea in 2002 that included monitoring so food actually went to people.

https://asiasociety.org/famine-north-korea

So yes, I believe it could have gone from epic to 0 in one year because most of the developed world came together and shipped food to North Korea.

And it's still shameful that it's increasing in the US.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 3 months ago

But... it's very rare that sustained international intervention into a basically hostile country to solve a decades-long issue ever even works the way it's supposed to in the first place, let alone reduces the problem it was trying to address from "crisis" to "totally nonexistent" within the space of one year.

Here are some other stats about hunger in North Korea over time:

https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/PRK/north-korea/hunger-statistics

https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Trends-of-chronic-malnutrition-among-North-Korean-children-by-year_fig2_322157603

I am sure there is variation by how you measure things, which is why those graphs look radically different, but my point is that they don't shoop down to 0 all of a sudden in one year and then stay there.

My suspicion is that it stopped being possible to get good data in 2003, for some reason, and they just fell back on horrible data instead, which is why the sudden discontinuous change that's at odds with all the other data sources I could find.

And it’s still shameful that it’s increasing in the US.

Agreed. And that probably does correspond to actual desperate poverty.

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 3 months ago (6 children)

Bruh, I had someone told me that "China lifted millions of people out of poverty"

Me, whose family emigrated out of China for both economic and political reasons: "Uh-huh, interesting......" 🤭 "Kinda odd so many people want to go to foreign countries, but few of those foreign countries' Citizens want to immigrate to China... I wonder why..." 🙈

[–] [email protected] 8 points 3 months ago (6 children)

They did lift millions of people out of poverty, provided those people qualify to live in a T1 city.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 3 months ago

They did. My parents had better lives in the few years before they left, compared to when they were a kid during the Mao era. Still was not a great life, and thats why they took me and my brother and we all left.

People defend a dictatorship and say "Quality of Lifr improved". Well I mean, yea, thats to be expected as time goes on, improvent in quality of life is a global trend in (almost) every country, whether Democratic or Authoritarian, Capitalist or "Socialist". Its not the "Socialism" that made China better, it was the diplomacy that opened up international trade. It was the better leadership after Mao. Mao didn't do shit for China, Deng Xiaoping was who really opened up China and improved people's lives (not saying Deng Xiaoping was a saint or anything, just stating facts). The "Socialism with Chinese Characteristics" was just his excuse, since he cant just be brutally honest and call it what it is, Capitalism (with tighter state control).

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 3 months ago

Recently an economist, who writes for an economics paper in China, showed a billion people in China lived on 280 USD, or less, per month, which would mean most of China's population is still in poverty, and their 800 million number was either not true, or that there was a big back slide they have been covering up. He used meta-data from Chinese academic institutes, and the CCP's own reports.

Since that report went viral on Weibo, then the west, the CCP, and foreign groups they operate through, have nearly erased it. When you would search for "billion people in china still in poverty" Google would have like 10 links to articles about it. Now it is buried down page, behind a dozen or so links about China lifting varying numbers of people from poverty. The ones still there are from only less reputable, or less known, sites. So getting to the citation, that is real, is basically dead.

China's response has changed, been contradictory, and has mostly become vague sentiments of anti-Chinese interests.

It went from numerous, well established, media outlets, to me being able to only find this trash article about the censorship on trash newsweek.

The framing is real shit, but the direct info about Li, and what happened are there. However it was originally reported in Caixin, which is a mainstream Chinese financial paper. It wasn't even a hit piece. The guy was citing their demographics issues, plateauing growth, aging population, stress on funds to elderly, etc. He even says that the CCP is very competent in that regard, and projected that, taking this information into mind, they could still double their GDP in record time.

https://www.newsweek.com/china-article-censorship-1-billion-people-monthly-income-2000-yuan-poverty-1856031

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Yeah, I've seen that. They love to post up graphs of life expectancy, income, etc, and show it going up and up after the revolutions. It kind of loses its steam when you put those graphs next to the graphs of life expectancy, income, etc, worldwide, during that same time period, and they all go up together as a more or less unified grouping as agriculture and medicine improved and the technology boosted up the whole world.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 months ago

A lack of world wide wars was also helpfull

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 months ago

Not being poor, does not mean you are rich. China lifted millions out of poverty to what is global average. Obviously migrants prefer to go to the actually rich parts of the world.

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[–] [email protected] 19 points 3 months ago

It is probably based on numbers from the North Korean government

[–] [email protected] 16 points 3 months ago

The issue here is, there's no way to confirm the data as all these dictatorship tend to manipulate their data before releasing it, and you have no way to confirm anything. Only idiots will eat it up.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 3 months ago (2 children)

Lemmygrad is hilarious, you fell for propaganda

[–] [email protected] 15 points 3 months ago (2 children)

You fell for clickbait. If you read it, you notice that they basically debunk the title

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 3 months ago

At what point did I fall for it?

[–] [email protected] 11 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

10.7 million people are undernourished
18% of children are stunted (impaired growth and development due to chronic malnutrition)
25.9 million population

That's pretty terrible. I couldn't find an apples to apples comparison, but the best numbers put food insecurity (not the same at all as malnutrition) at 5-13.5% (5% was severe food insecurity), and growth stunting was <5% (not sure on the severity).

Having ~40% of your population be malnourished is horrendous. This is absolutely cherry-picked data at best.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 3 months ago (1 children)

This chart is specifically the death rate. The other charts you provided are "affected by" aggregate statistics or "undernourished" if I understand correctly.

It seems possible that NK is improving on people dying directly from it or deaths are being categorized differently (if everyone is malnourished, another more immediate cause of death may be recoreded).

So I'm not sure this is entirely wrong.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 months ago

All three charts measure different things, yes. I suspect that "Our World in Data" is converting some more complex metrics into "estimated deaths per 100,000" to have an apples to apples comparison, and doing it badly in this case, since their numbers are so different from other sources. It could be also that they just can't get good numerical data out of North Korea. Some sources don't even quote numbers because there would be too much guesswork involved.

But I definitely wouldn't count that, or "deaths are being categorized differently by the government" as a sign that this isn't wrong. The literal death rate from malnutrition in North Korea is far from negligible like it is in China, Vietnam, or the US (even with it going up in the US). You don't have 20% of your children with stunted growth without some of them being too weak to make it and dying of some condition due to malnutrition. And that absolutely haunting video of the starving North Korean woman gathering grass, who died shortly after the interview, is from 2010.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Something else to consider, whether Cuba, DPRK, or anywhere else is the impact of sanctioning.

Edited to hopefully correct formatting

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Yeah. In addition to causing massive suffering, they often work backwards, too, strengthening the regime they're trying to weaken.

Also. In the early 60s, the list of communist countries in the world was:

  • China
  • Cuba
  • Soviet Union
  • East Germany
  • Hungary
  • Czechoslovakia
  • Poland
  • Mongolia
  • Romania
  • Albania
  • Bulgaria
  • North Korea
  • Yugoslavia
  • North Vietnam

The list of countries with State Department restrictions preventing US citizens from traveling there, with severe penalties, was:

  • China
  • Cuba
  • North Korea
  • Vietnam
  • Albania
  • Hungary

The list of countries which are still communist today is:

  • China
  • Cuba
  • North Korea
  • Vietnam

Preventing a communist country from being visited by tourists from the US, to "punish" them, is among the most effective methods ever devised for strengthening its communist government and allowing it to keep its hold on power.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 months ago (1 children)

The list of countries which are still communist today is:

Correction: the list is actually { }. Hope that helps.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 months ago

but ya see, it took 48 years of feeding the starving into the foodschmunkgeneratorium2000™ to march north korean statistics out of the state of starvation with the will and pure physical determination of the people! just not the living/s

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