I doubt DVD or Blurays are going away that soon, I could even see it making a comeback as people figure out that it is an objectively better product
this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2025
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LLM everything. Nobody who is selling AI services is making any money on it. OpenAI is burning tens of billions a year without even a concept of a sellable product, Microsoft is losing billions on OpenAI, and Amazon made 5B revenue on a 120B investment (and negative profit). Nobody who is using these LLMs is paying the full cost, and hardly anyone actually uses them for anything real. Productivity hasn't gone up for the vast majority of companies using it, and only ignorant management is pushing it hard.
I'll give it three years until it all falls apart, and that's very generous.
Thats assuming that future iterations of the models cost as much as the current models do to run.
Not at all. It's assuming they don't suddenly drop in cost 99%
I came here to say exactly this. Well done.
It doesn’t go without saying. I disagree about physical media. It’s one of the few ways to guarantee you actually own the thing you bought. People still buy brand new vinyl.
Technology rarely disappears completely, but it does usually fades into hobbyist and collector territory.
To answer the question, I don’t think SMS will be around much longer. It has many problems and is already being replaced by many different standards that are better in every way.
This is true about analog mediums but a good amount of modern digital media has DRM even if it's physical.
Offline DRM historically has always been broken eventually, and when it gets cracked, it stays cracked. They can’t change it or take it away from you like streaming.
Blu-ray DRM is the most cutting edge, and it’s pretty easy to crack right now.
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This happened in the past, and will happen in the future.
God, I can only hope SMS fades significantly, but I just don't believe it will.
It's part of the the cell framing, so there's no reason for it to go away, unfortunately.
You'd have to get people to disable it, which isn't really possible without root.
Windows.
I could see Linux finally talking off, but legacy uses will float around for decades
They can pry my bluerays from my dead cold hands
But gently so as not to scratch them.
Yeah. And with how streaming is going, it's either discs or piracy lol.
Your local library approves of that message!
It sure is!
And the modded firmware Blu-ray drives
Wait what does modding firmware for blueray drives enable?
Region free playback and the ability to convert the entire disk into a mkv
sim-cards
Maybe not completely obsolete, but landline phones and fax machines.
I rarely see anyone using mp3 players anymore :(
Brit here. We (the household) had our landline switched over from analog to digital last year so if our internet connection drops out we won't be able to use the landline. the reasoning was the phone cables are getting old and the government doesn't want to spend money to replace them so landlines just connect to the router now. i know landlines aren't obsolete but the technology which made them redundant is, at least in my area. the rollover is expected to be completed by 2027 iirc
I literally got a tech support call last week asking, "How do I legally get MP3s to put on this new MP3 player I just got?" I was kinda stumped. "Umm... Rip a CD?"
Bandcamp sells MP3s.
As does Amazon believe it or not. Of course then you’d have to give Bezos money.
Good to know! Legal, non-DRM? Do they have popular artists?
Completely legal and non-DRM yes. You buy digital albums and can choose what type of files you download. (MP3, FLAC, WAV, ALAC, AIFF, and more). Artists can even offer a license for a choose-your-own-amount donation.
I'm not too sure about popular artists, but they do have a lot of great indie artists. A lot of small bands use it, as well as a lot of music producers from smaller subgenres. (Darkpsy for example)
Rip a…a what? What do you mean, “rip?”
Fax will never go obsolete because of the medical system.
I don't see landlines going away for a long time. Most residential doesn't need either of them, but commercial will absolutely be using them for a long time. Businesses and corporations get a huge advantage from having phones that are so reliable. They don't need to be charged, they never have to deal with poor signals, and they are cheap to replace of broken.