this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2025
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[–] [email protected] 261 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (4 children)

Why Civil Resistance Works the book that 2x figure comes from has some major controversy about cherry picking data as well as playing with the definition of peaceful protest.

If peaceful protests worked (as good as this article suggestions) the BBC wouldn't be writing about them.

[–] [email protected] 110 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Yeah, look at the Iraq war protests, they didn't amount to anything because they were peaceful and easily ignored by the media.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 2 days ago

This was going to be my counterexample too. Millions protested in the US, UK, Australia, and elsewhere before any troops were committed and it still didn't help. I dont have solid numbers but I'd be shocked if less than 3.5% of people were involved. They were the biggest protests ever at the time.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 days ago (3 children)

I personally feel like a lot came out of it, though. The USA left Iraq for example.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 days ago (1 children)

The USA actually still had troops in Iraq, Syria, Jordan, etc. And the protests were to prevent an invasion from happening in the first place, not to go in, kill a million people and then 2 decades down the line throw up your hands and say 'that was a mistake' with no consequences for anyone that pushed for it.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

In 2007 there were 170,000 troops in Iraq

In 2010 there were 88,000

In 2024 there were 2,500

[–] [email protected] 28 points 2 days ago (1 children)

And the number there should be is 0, I'm really not sure what point you're trying to make here. People didn't want a war in Iraq in 2003, there were mass peaceful protests, and yet it still happened.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

The number absolutely should not be 0. It's a nation which actively funds and mobilizes religious extremists who imprison or execute homosexuals and treat women as cattle.

EDIT: in this context Iraq/nation meant the local populace, not the government

[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Which wasn't the case before the invasion, when there were 0 US troops. Why the fuck do you bring up current day when I'm talking about protests that happened over 20 years ago (by people who knew the current outcome was likely)?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

Are you confused about which comment thread you're in? You said initially that the protests 20 years ago of the Iraq War were impotent and I pointed out that the US Involvment in Iraq sharply declined as a result of those protests, despite anti-NATO religious extremism presence growing in the region for many of the following years.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Jesus fucking Christ this post alone should be considered an act of violence for it's sheer depravity and mockery of millions of deaths. The US did it's thing in Iraq for 15 years, utterly failed, made lots of people rich and then they left. How dare you claim that was success for the anti-war movement. What is wrong with you? What the fuck is "Anti-NATO religious extremism?" This is a suspiciously nonsensical statement, especially when NATO wasn't even in Iraq. Is a chat bot writing your responses for you?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago (1 children)

NATO is still currently in Iraq, the US 2,500 troops are only a part of the effort to hamper ISIS.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

NATO went to Afghanistan. France (part of NATO) was so against Iraq that they wouldn't let the US use its bases for refueling. American politicians officially renamed French Fries to Freedom fries because they were mad at France and other members of NATO did not support Iraq and sent no troops.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Technically NATO has never been mobilized anywhere, but when multiple NATO members go somewhere we call it a NATO operation.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Yes but neither Iraq or Afghanistan were responsible for those attacks so NATO has never been mobilized. The US invasion of Iraq, as you already stated before, was not agreed upon by several NATO members including France.

NATO Mission Iraq (NMI) is currently lead by France.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

So you're saying NATO was mobilized without Article 5 even though NATO members voluntarily enterred Afghanistan? You seem to not understand what NATO is, it is a mutual defense pact that forces its members to participate in a war when one member is attacked, and that has never happened.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

without Article 5

I already linked with sources that Article 5 was invoked and Afghanistan was a NATO mission, not the US and some allies.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Article 5 was not invoked on Afghanistan, Article 5 was invoked over a year possibly 2 years prior after 9/11 which was not perpetrated by Afghanistan.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Article 5 was invoked over a year possibly 2 years prior after 9/11

"The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) declared an Article 5 contingency through a series of resolutions of the North Atlantic Council enacted between September 12 and October 2, 2001, done in response to the September 11 attacks in the United States."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Article_5_contingency_(2001)

Nato went into Afghanistan in 2001.

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_8189.htm

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The USA went into Afghanistan in 2001, NATO operations officially started in 2003, as per the articles you just linked.

NATO Allies went into Afghanistan in 2001. From August 2003, NATO led the UN-mandated International Security Assistance Force (ISAF), which aimed to create the conditions whereby the Afghan government could exercise its authority throughout the country and build the capacity of the Afghan national security forces, including in the fight against international terrorism. ISAF was completed in December 2014 when the Afghan National Defence and Security Forces assumed full responsibility for security across their country.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

NATO ISAF sent troops in January 2002. ISAF took command in 2003.

"Deployed in 2001 – initially under the lead of individual NATO Allies on a six-month rotational basis – ISAF was tasked, on the request of the Afghan government and under a United Nations (UN) mandate, to assist the Afghan government in maintaining security, originally in and around Kabul exclusively. NATO agreed to take command of the force in August 2003 "

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_69366.htm#%3A%7E%3Atext=ISAF+was+first+deployed+in%2Coperate+in+a+secure+environment.

2001 or 2003. Your claim that NATO never mobilized in Afghanistan is false.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 2 days ago (1 children)

The protests didn't do anything to that, it was the insurgency causing a steady supply of body bags to come back.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I find it hard to believe 9 other people as misinformed as you scrolled this far into this thread to upvote your theory that US troops never left Iraq they just died.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 day ago

Sure, everyone else is wrong, and you're right even when you're seemingly deliberately misreading everything. If you're not trolling, you should probably get yourself checked.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

post hoc ergo propter hoc. the invention of Facebook was just as much a cause of leaving Iraq. or flat screen TVs. or Blu-ray disks.

which is to say the protests didn't change anything.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Politicians making decisions based on public opinion has a lot of cause and effect relation. By all accounts it would have been easier to maintain a 40k to 100k presence in Iraq than it was to pack everything up and leave.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

please prove a casual link between protests and the ending of the war

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)
  1. People opposed the pointless war whose only winners were Exxo n Mobil.

  2. People voted the party who started the war out of power.

  3. The opposition party withdrew from the region.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

doesn't sound like the protest had any impact. sounds like the votes were the only thing that mattered.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

By that logic no protest has ever had any impact. You sound like a real bootlicker rn.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

nonviolence protects the state

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

So does being anti-protest, bootlicker.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I'm not anti protest. I'm challenging the assertion that the Iraq war protests worked.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

You have challenged the assertion that protests in any way affect the outcome of elections or what choices politicians make.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

anyone can read what I wrote and see this is a lie

[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Peaceful protest works great under two conditions:

  1. Just a metric fuckton of participants

  2. The implicit threat of violent protest (e.g. Malcom X behind MLK)

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago

Meaning they aren't somehow making money off whatever you're protesting...

[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago

The article pointedly says that non violent protests were more successful because a lot more people were involved than in the violent protests.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Claims without any supporting evidence aren't that interesting.

Edit: OP changed his post after I called him out for not referencing any sources

[–] [email protected] 34 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

How to blow up a pipeline has a chapter on the topic.

You can also read the original book and check the examples.

P.C. this is article about the fourth mentioned protest in the article, and literally the second paragraph is about clashes. There are 11 casualties during this series of protests.

But you knew that with your high standards of verifying information right?

[–] lmmarsano 10 points 2 days ago

P.C. this is article about the four mentioned protest in the article, and literally the second paragraph is about clashes.

Which states

Clashes break out as police try to disperse the crowds and eight demonstrators are killed.

Police killing protesters makes a violent movement?

They're not exactly an armed group of combatants coordinating attacks.

Working with Maria Stephan, a researcher at the ICNC, Chenoweth performed an extensive review of the literature on civil resistance and social movements from 1900 to 2006 – a data set then corroborated with other experts in the field.

Research.

How to blow up a pipeline has a chapter on the topic.

Research?

But you knew that with your high standards of verifying information right?

Do your standards measure up to that?

[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

I'm not the one making claims. If you want to make a claim cite a source.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago

The article also made claims. Did you check them?