So you're tell me there's a chance?
this post was submitted on 20 Feb 2025
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I'm a Powerball man...
Those are great odds!
Sure hope so!
What do we need to get this to %100?
It's probably made up of dense materials like iron. Let's pile all the earth's magnets at the White House!
I'll give mine, as long as someone helps with the shipping!
Keep looking, there's got to be something out there that can hit us!
I'm not sure if you saw the recent news but we have a possible new mummy curse, never give up hope
I haven't seen that. That's a new one. Lets go!
Yeah, but mummies can be friendly.. asteroids are a sure thing. Just ask the dinosaurs.
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As someone who's played MMOs, 1.5% chance is actually pretty high.
As someone who's played XCom, a 1.5% chance of a bad thing (questionable) means it's gonna critically hit
As someone who played Ragnarok Online extensively, 1.5% for a single monster kill means I will never find that item.
Not to mention cards’ .01% drop rate ugh
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Everyone hoping there's still a chance, you need to remember... this is only a city-killer asteroid.
We need to hope for a much bigger asteroid.
As long as it falls on the right city, it would do the entire world a massive, once in 500 years favor.
Unfortunately North America doesn't fall under the possible impact zone
More proof that there's no god.
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Would have been funny if it hit Buenos aires
If the alien movies serve us correctly, this is luckily going to hit the USA; possibly Washington DC directly.
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Reminder that the asteroid is only large enough to destroy a city and, even given the rare chance of it hitting Earth, in all likelihood would land in the ocean and cause no damage. It's not a doomsday asteroid
imagine if it falls and perfectly annihilates the trump administration though
Unfortunately, Washington is outside of the possible impact zone. (Well, Washington in Brazil is inside, but it's not about that one.)
DART successfully moved an astroid that was probably way bigger!
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Can we please not post daily updates? This is still 7 years away
Don’t look up.
I am down to have monthly updates for the next few years, weekly updates through 2031, and daily updates throughout 2032
I just feel like if we do daily updates for the next 7 years when it's in all likelihood going to miss us, we'll be too complacent when an asteroid does have an impact trajectory
Well, that's disappointing..
Please
🙏🙏🙏
Bets on it being totally ignored by the world if it turns out to be aimed at Africa?
Africa actually does seem to be the most likely impact if it were to hit. The predicted impact would be along the equator.
Just give us the confidence interval and stop updating. We will know better in January 2029 once it has passed by and been tugged by our gravity and the moons.
So you're telling me there's still a chance
Giant Meteor for Earth President 2032!
Why wait? The best time would have been the dawn of civilization. The second best time is now.
The global astronomical community expects the odds of an asteroid to hit Earth in December 2032 to eventually fall to zero.
I love how they make it seem like some insider expertise versus knowing basics of how percentages work.
I mean, without knowing what the number represents, it's not obvious why it goes up and then suddenly drops like this.
They basically predict a cross-section of places it could go through, which shrinks with improved data. If the Earth is still inside, that makes it's share go up. Eventually, it hits an edge and the share drops to zero suddenly
Damn. The bugs need to up their accuracy
Dontgivemehope.meme
Boourns!
Is this the new seven minutes to midnight? We're 1.5% to asteroid.
Damn
I feel like hitting the moon could fuck us up even worse long term, with effects on the ocean?
Much much much much larger objects have hit the moon in the past
Well we'd lose the tides, which would devastate ocean life. We'd lose moonlight, which would devastate nocturnal animals. The axial tilt would change, so seasons would become more even, devastating plants that rely on seasonal cycles, or become more extreme, devastating everything.
The book Seveneves explores this scenario, but is mostly about how humanity moves to space to survive.
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There is this fun toy see/calculate the potential effect of any asteroid collision: https://neal.fun/asteroid-launcher/
If it hits any city, that is wiped out. If it hit anything else, chances are damages are moderate.
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